RSD-008.9 : Field note
World Robotics 2026: what the IFR report says, and what it means for robotics advisors
The International Federation of Robotics published World Robotics 2026 on September 24, with the service robot edition following on September 30. The headline is five million industrial robots at work in factories and a record 603,000 installed in 2025. The number that matters more to an advisor sits lower in the release: the United States passed Japan to become the second largest robot market in the world, and the growth came from food plants, warehouses, and hospitals rather than from car makers. This note reads both reports for what they change in a client conversation.
Robotics SD : October 1, 2026
The short version
- Global installations rose 11% to 603,000 in 2025 after a flat 2024, and the operational stock passed five million. The IFR forecasts 655,000 installations in 2026 and 806,000 by 2029.
- The United States installed 38,400 industrial robots, up 12%, and moved ahead of Japan into second place behind China. Food rose 30% while automotive was flat and metal and machinery fell 15%.
- General industry now takes 53% of global installations, up from 26% a decade ago. Collaborative robots held at 11% of the total, with 66,240 installed.
- Professional service robot sales rose 24% to about 250,000 units. Transport and logistics took 47% of them, cleaning grew 40%, and the IFR says robots as a service is already the dominant business model in the United States.
Field note
Five million robots, and a record year
The IFR's industrial robot statistics count 603,000 new industrial robots installed worldwide in 2025, an 11% rise and the first real growth since 2022. The prior two years had been flat: 541,000 units in 2023 and 542,000 in 2024. The operational stock, meaning robots installed and still working, grew 9% to 5.08 million units. A year ago the IFR had forecast 575,000 installations for 2025; the actual figure beat that by about 28,000 robots.
The outlook is for more of the same. The IFR expects installations to rise 9% to 655,000 in 2026 and to reach 806,000 by 2029, about 7% a year from 2027 onward. Its reasoning is worth quoting because it describes the market an advisor sells into: "advances in artificial intelligence, machine vision and sensing are increasing robot capabilities, while easier programming and system integration are reducing deployment costs and opening automation to new applications and customer groups." Cheaper deployment and new customer groups is the mid-market, in the IFR's own words.
The growth is not evenly spread. Asia installed 457,000 robots, up 14%, and now takes 76% of the world total. The Americas rose 14% to 57,000. Europe fell to 73,000 units, its lowest in the five years the IFR charts, with the European Union down 11% to 60,500. The IFR's forecast for the Americas is cautious, about 2% growth in 2026 and 2% a year after that, which says the record US year below is not something to extrapolate in a proposal.
Field note
The United States is now the second largest market
The United States installed 38,400 industrial robots in 2025, a 12% increase and, in the IFR's words, the third highest number recorded in the history of its statistics. That was enough to pass Japan, which installed 36,219 robots in a 19% decline, and move into second place worldwide behind China. The June preview had put the US figure at 38,000 and 11%; the final numbers came in slightly higher.
Jane Heffner, the IFR's president since July and a Teradyne Robotics executive, described where it came from: "US robot demand has rebounded very strongly: 2025 ranked as the third strongest year on record behind 2018 and 2022. Growth came from the food industry and sectors like warehousing, logistics or medical. At the same time automotive has stayed stable as the largest customer."
The industry table bears that out. Automotive installed 13,526 robots, down 1%, and remains the largest buyer. The food industry rose 30% to 2,930 units. Metal and machinery fell 15% to 3,014, electronics slipped 1% to 2,831, and plastics and chemicals eased 2% to 2,670. The category the IFR labels all others, which is where warehousing, logistics, medical, and most of the use cases on this site sit, grew from about 6,500 units to about 8,000. The slide the IFR used to present the US numbers carried the subtitle "Growth rather outside of traditional downstreams." Translated: the robots are going to businesses that have never bought one.
The IFR's US outlook pairs a caution with a promise: "Uncertainty and trade tensions will be a burden in the short term, but reshoring policy and labor scarcity will provide excellent opportunities for robotics in the long run." The rest of the Americas was mixed. Canada rose 5% to almost 4,000 units, Mexico fell 7% to fewer than 5,200 in its third year of decline, and Brazil jumped 38% on car plants, which the IFR attributes most likely to Chinese automakers investing there.
Field note
General industry is now the majority of demand
The most important chart in the press conference was not a country ranking. It was the shift in who buys robots. In 2015, automotive took 38% of global installations, electronics 36%, and everything else, the general industry the IFR groups together, 26%. In 2025 the shares were 23%, 24%, and 53%. The IFR's caption: "Demand in General Industries has quintupled over a decade." The customers who built the robot industry, car and electronics plants, now buy less than half of it.
By segment worldwide, electronics installed 142,000 robots, up 10%, automotive 138,000, also up 10%, and metal and machinery 109,000, up 22%. Plastics and chemicals held at 26,000, and food fell 14% to 18,000 globally, the opposite of the US food figure. The explanation is China, where food and beverage installations had grown 86% in 2024 and then fell 37% in 2025. Read the two together and the US food number looks less like a blip and more like a market that started later and is still climbing.
Collaborative robots, the arms built to work next to people without a fenced cell, held their share. The IFR counted 66,240 cobot installations in 2025, up 7%, or 11% of all industrial robots, roughly where the share has sat since 2022. Cobots are not taking over the robot market. They are the part of it most mid-market plants can actually install, and 66,000 a year is a lot of first robots.
Field note
China at 59 percent, and the question of where your robot was built
China installed 354,000 industrial robots in 2025, up 20% and 59% of the world total, more than every other country combined. Chinese manufacturers supplied 55% of their home market. Japan fell to third, the Republic of Korea stayed flat at about 30,000, and Germany, Europe's largest market, fell 8% to under 25,000. Among the factors the IFR lists as shaping demand are "Trade restrictions and industrial strategies gain importance" and "Supply-chain transformation drives robot demand." The US release adds a line every advisor should keep in mind: "the majority of robots in the United States are still imported from Japan and Europe."
Two policy items sit behind that line. On July 28, 2026, the Federal Communications Commission added foreign-produced advanced robotic devices to its Covered List, which, as the IFR summarized for its members in August, means mobile, ground-based robots that operate away from a human operator can no longer receive new FCC equipment authorizations if they are produced abroad. Industrial arms are explicitly excluded, previously authorized models can still be imported, sold, and updated, and a conditional approval pathway exists for suppliers who make ownership and cybersecurity disclosures. Autonomous mobile robots, cleaning robots, and humanoids are inside the scope. Separately, the Commerce Department's Section 232 investigation into imported robotics and industrial machinery, opened in September 2025, still shows no published outcome as of this writing.
For a client buying a mobile robot this is now a diligence question, not a trade policy debate. Ask the supplier where the robot is produced, whether the specific model holds a current FCC authorization, and who bears a change in import duties during the contract. A supplier worth recommending answers all three in writing. The ones who cannot answer the second question are the ones whose fleet may not be able to add units next year.
Field note
The service robot report: a quarter million units, and RaaS is the US default
The IFR's service robot edition followed on September 30. Global sales of professional service robots rose 24% to almost 250,000 units in 2025. Transportation and logistics robots, mostly the autonomous mobile robots in warehouses and plants, led with 117,500 units, up 21% and 47% of the total. Hospitality robots were second at about 56,000 units, up 19%. Professional cleaning was third at about 44,600 units, up 40%, with floor cleaning as the main application. Agriculture reached about 17,100 units, up 19%, and inspection and maintenance robots grew 83% to about 6,500. Medical robots rose 19% to 15,300 units, with surgical robots up 57% to 8,400. One caveat the IFR prints itself: these figures come from a sample of 238 of the roughly 1,000 service robot producers it tracks and are not projected to the whole industry, so treat them as a floor.
Heffner's summary: "Service robots are expanding into everyday operations." The sentence that matters most for this site is about how they are paid for. "Although traditional sales remained the main monetization channel, RaaS business models continued to grow in popularity. In the US, this already is the dominant business model." That is the IFR, not a supplier's marketing, saying that an American business buying a cleaning, delivery, or logistics robot now more often subscribes to it than buys it. Its outlook slide adds that "RaaS business models lower adoption barriers considerably" and names demographic change and a lack of skilled workers as the key drivers.
On humanoids the report is measured. The IFR counts about 7,000 full-size humanoids sold worldwide in 2025 and has identified 174 manufacturers, more than half of them in China. Its own assessment is that humanoids are "still on the verge of making the leap from laboratories to pilots," with the technology "yet to prove reliability and efficiency." The large plans are real but still plans: The Robot Report covered Boston Dynamics opening a training center at Hyundai's Georgia plant in September, with Hyundai intending to deploy 25,000 Atlas robots across its plants over the next several years. Seven thousand units sold against a quarter million service robots is the proportion to keep in mind when a client asks.
Field note
What the report means for the advisor
Three things to take from two volumes of statistics.
- Lead with the categories that grew. In the United States the food industry, warehousing, logistics, and medical drove the record year, and in service robots cleaning grew 40% and inspection 83%. A client in one of those categories is being sold to right now by suppliers with fresh references, which means the advisor who registers the opportunity first has the better position.
- Make origin and authorization part of the quote. For any mobile robot, ask the supplier where it is produced, whether the model holds a current FCC equipment authorization, and who carries a change in import duties during the term. For an industrial arm the FCC rule does not apply, but the duty question does.
- Propose the pilot as a subscription. The IFR now says RaaS is the dominant business model for service robots in the United States, so a client who wants to try a robot without a capital request is asking for the normal arrangement, not a favor. Register the deal before the pilot starts, so the rollout that follows is attributed to you.
The money flow does not change with the statistics: the supplier pays Robotics SD a commission on the revenue a registered deal produces, and Robotics SD pays the advisor from it. What changes is the size of the conversation. Five million robots in service, half of new demand coming from businesses outside the auto and electronics plants that used to buy all of it, and a subscription model the industry's own statisticians call dominant. That is the market this channel was built for.
FAQ
The questions that follow
How many industrial robots were installed in 2025?
The IFR counts 603,000 industrial robot installations worldwide in 2025, up 11%, and an operational stock of 5.08 million. It forecasts 655,000 installations in 2026 and 806,000 in 2029. The report was published on September 24, 2026.
Is the United States really the second largest robot market?
Yes, by annual installations. The United States installed 38,400 industrial robots in 2025, ahead of Japan at 36,219, with China first at 354,000. The IFR calls 2025 the third strongest US year on record after 2018 and 2022.
Which US industries bought more robots in 2025?
Food rose 30% to 2,930 units, and the IFR's president named warehousing, logistics, and medical as sources of growth. Automotive, still the largest buyer at 13,526 units, was flat, and metal and machinery fell 15%.
Does the IFR say robots as a service is common?
In its service robot edition, published September 30, 2026, the IFR says traditional sales remain the main channel worldwide but RaaS continues to grow, and that in the United States RaaS is already the dominant business model for service robots. It published no unit or revenue split for RaaS.
Does the new FCC rule affect industrial robots?
No. The Covered List addition of July 28, 2026 covers foreign-produced mobile, ground-based robots such as autonomous mobile robots, cleaning robots, and humanoids. Industrial arms are explicitly excluded, and previously authorized mobile models can still be imported and sold. For any mobile robot, ask the supplier whether the model holds a current authorization.
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